| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Florida International | 9 | #71 | @ South Florida | 5-2 | 19 | L | South Florida (-24.31) | 0% | 14.31 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #109 | Buffalo | 4-3 | 20 | @ Florida International | 33 | W | Florida International (-9.11) | 100% | 3.89 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Florida International | 10 | #97 | @ Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | 16 | L | Florida Atlantic (+0.33) | 0% | -6.33 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #215 | Long Island University | 3-5 | 3 | @ Florida International | 20 | W | Florida International (-27.49) | 100% | -10.49 | ||||||
| 10/7/2026 | #162 | New Mexico State | 2-4 | 3 | @ Florida International | 22 | W | Florida International (-3.31) | 100% | 15.69 | ||||||
| 10/14/2026 | Florida International | 24 | #88 | @ Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 27 | L | Jacksonville State (-4.55) | 0% | 1.55 | ||||||
| 10/20/2026 | #159 | Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | @ Florida International | W | Florida International (-11.74) | 76% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Florida International | #63 | @ Liberty | 5-1 | L | Liberty (-11.57) | 24% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | @ Florida International | W | Florida International (-9.25) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Florida International | #166 | @ Delaware | 2-4 | W | Delaware (+2.82) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Florida International | #172 | @ Kennesaw State | 1-5 | L | Kennesaw State (-3.06) | 42% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #161 | Sam Houston | 1-5 | @ Florida International | W | Florida International (-6.86) | 67% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-632.0% 27-530.8% 35-716.8% 48-413.7% 54-84.3% 69-32.1% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.1% | ||||||||||||||||