| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/3/2026 | #244 | Merrimack | 2-5 | 7 | @ Delaware | 42 | W | Delaware (-25.29) | 100% | 9.71 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Delaware | 26 | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | 35 | L | Vanderbilt (-24.06) | 0% | 15.06 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #157 | Coastal Carolina | 2-5 | 14 | @ Delaware | 22 | W | Delaware (-6.84) | 100% | 1.16 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Delaware | 3 | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | 42 | L | Virginia (-20.23) | 0% | -18.77 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | #63 | Liberty | 5-1 | 30 | ✓ | @ Delaware | 14 | L | Delaware (+4.53) | 0% | -11.47 | |||||
| 10/13/2026 | ✓ | Delaware | 30 | #159 | @ Middle Tennessee | 3-3 | 33 | L | Middle Tennessee (+2.10) | 0% | -5.10 | |||||
| 10/20/2026 | #163 | Missouri State | 2-4 | @ Delaware | W | Delaware (-4.24) | 60% | |||||||||
| 10/27/2026 | Delaware | #137 | @ Western Kentucky | 3-4 | L | Western Kentucky (-6.28) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Delaware | #172 | @ Kennesaw State | 1-5 | L | Kennesaw State (-8.60) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #108 | Florida International | 3-3 | @ Delaware | L | Delaware (+2.82) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Delaware | #162 | @ New Mexico State | 2-4 | L | New Mexico State (-6.29) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #88 | Jacksonville State | 5-2 | @ Delaware | L | Delaware (+4.51) | 39% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-831.7% 25-728.3% 33-918.1% 46-613.8% 52-104.1% 67-53.5% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.4% | ||||||||||||||||