| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 10 | @ Texas Tech | 33 | W | Texas Tech (-40.89) | 100% | -17.89 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Texas Tech | 35 | #30 | @ Oregon State | 5-2 | 24 | W | Oregon State (+20.34) | 100% | -9.34 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #16 | Houston | 6-1 | 26 | @ Texas Tech | 28 | W | Texas Tech (-10.61) | 100% | -8.61 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #161 | Sam Houston | 1-5 | 14 | @ Texas Tech | 49 | W | Texas Tech (-29.80) | 100% | 5.20 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Texas Tech | 29 | ✓ | #75 | @ Colorado | 2-4 | 7 | W | Colorado (+17.12) | 100% | 4.88 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #89 | Arizona State | 3-3 | 25 | @ Texas Tech | 53 | W | Texas Tech (-20.38) | 100% | 7.62 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Texas Tech | #49 | @ Cincinnati | 4-2 | W | Cincinnati (+10.07) | 73% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #25 | Arizona | 5-1 | @ Texas Tech | W | Texas Tech (-7.77) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #68 | West Virginia | 4-3 | @ Texas Tech | W | Texas Tech (-17.76) | 86% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Texas Tech | #32 | @ Oklahoma State | 4-2 | W | Oklahoma State (+2.71) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Texas Tech | #36 | @ Baylor | 4-2 | W | Baylor (+3.72) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #45 | TCU | 3-3 | @ Texas Tech | W | Texas Tech (-9.88) | 73% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-233.5% 211-129.6% 39-319.4% 412-010.5% 58-46.0% 67-51.0% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 10.5% | ||||||||||||||||