| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #29 | North Carolina | 4-2 | 15 | TCU | 10 | ✓ | L | TCU (-12.09) | 0% | -17.09 | |||||
| 9/13/2026 | #213 | Grambling | 2-3 | 7 | @ TCU | 63 | W | TCU (-40.91) | 100% | 15.09 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #124 | Arkansas State | 3-4 | 7 | @ TCU | 31 | W | TCU (-17.72) | 100% | 6.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | TCU | 13 | ✓ | #53 | @ UCF | 3-3 | 21 | L | UCF (+1.71) | 0% | -9.71 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #7 | BYU | 6-0 | 17 | @ TCU | 10 | L | TCU (+4.37) | 0% | -2.63 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | TCU | 17 | #36 | @ Baylor | 4-2 | 6 | W | Baylor (-5.29) | 100% | 16.29 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #68 | West Virginia | 4-3 | @ TCU | W | TCU (-11.50) | 76% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #93 | Kansas | 2-4 | @ TCU | W | TCU (-7.53) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | TCU | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | L | Arizona (-4.52) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #47 | Kansas State | 4-2 | @ TCU | W | TCU (-5.42) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #15 | Utah | 6-0 | @ TCU | L | TCU (+4.43) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | TCU | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | L | Texas Tech (-9.88) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-633.7% 27-526.2% 35-721.7% 48-49.7% 54-86.6% 69-31.3% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.3% | ||||||||||||||||