| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | 3 | @ Kansas State | 71 | W | Kansas State (-32.66) | 100% | 35.34 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #139 | Washington State | 1-6 | 7 | @ Kansas State | 34 | W | Kansas State (-14.61) | 100% | 12.39 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | 20 | @ Kansas State | 31 | W | Kansas State (-19.32) | 100% | -8.32 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Kansas State | 26 | #49 | @ Cincinnati | 4-2 | 31 | L | Cincinnati (+2.07) | 0% | -7.07 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #16 | Houston | 6-1 | 35 | @ Kansas State | 16 | L | Kansas State (-3.20) | 0% | -22.20 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #93 | Kansas | 2-4 | 24 | @ Kansas State | 35 | W | Kansas State (-3.24) | 100% | 7.76 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Kansas State | #89 | @ Arizona State | 3-3 | W | Arizona State (+5.77) | 64% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Kansas State | #75 | @ Colorado | 2-4 | W | Colorado (+2.98) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #32 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | @ Kansas State | W | Kansas State (-0.52) | 51% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Kansas State | #45 | @ TCU | 3-3 | L | TCU (-5.42) | 37% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #25 | Arizona | 5-1 | @ Kansas State | L | Kansas State (+0.05) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Kansas State | #43 | @ Iowa State | 3-3 | L | Iowa State (-3.46) | 41% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-531.9% 28-423.7% 36-623.5% 49-39.2% 55-79.0% 610-21.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.4% | ||||||||||||||||