| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #30 | Oregon State | 5-2 | 20 | @ Houston | 33 | W | Houston (-16.19) | 100% | -3.19 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #239 | Southern | 1-4 | 6 | @ Houston | 77 | W | Houston (-49.63) | 100% | 21.37 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Houston | 26 | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | 28 | L | Texas Tech (-10.61) | 0% | 8.61 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Houston | 42 | #94 | @ Georgia Southern | 3-4 | 28 | W | Georgia Southern (+12.15) | 100% | 1.85 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #53 | UCF | 3-3 | 17 | @ Houston | 27 | W | Houston (-7.44) | 100% | 2.56 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Houston | 35 | #47 | @ Kansas State | 4-2 | 16 | W | Kansas State (-3.20) | 100% | 22.20 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #32 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 32 | @ Houston | 35 | W | Houston (-10.83) | 100% | -7.83 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Houston | #15 | @ Utah | 6-0 | L | Utah (-4.22) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #49 | Cincinnati | 4-2 | @ Houston | W | Houston (-17.69) | 85% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Houston | #75 | @ Colorado | 2-4 | W | Colorado (+11.92) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Houston | #68 | @ West Virginia | 4-3 | W | West Virginia (+12.32) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #36 | Baylor | 4-2 | @ Houston | W | Houston (-9.98) | 73% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-239.0% 29-332.3% 311-114.7% 48-411.8% 57-52.0% 66-60.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 14.7% | ||||||||||||||||