| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | 15 | @ Cincinnati | 34 | W | Cincinnati (-10.70) | 100% | 8.30 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #156 | Western Carolina | 3-4 | 10 | @ Cincinnati | 62 | W | Cincinnati (-26.85) | 100% | 25.15 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #115 | Miami (OH) | 4-3 | 31 | @ Cincinnati | 35 | W | Cincinnati (-19.33) | 100% | -15.33 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #47 | Kansas State | 4-2 | 26 | @ Cincinnati | 31 | W | Cincinnati (+2.07) | 100% | 7.07 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Cincinnati | 7 | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | 34 | L | Arizona (-5.26) | 0% | -21.74 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Cincinnati | 42 | #68 | @ West Virginia | 4-3 | 45 | L | West Virginia (+0.40) | 0% | -3.40 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #10 | Texas Tech | 6-0 | @ Cincinnati | L | Cincinnati (+10.07) | 27% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #15 | Utah | 6-0 | @ Cincinnati | L | Cincinnati (+11.39) | 24% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Cincinnati | #16 | @ Houston | 6-1 | L | Houston (-17.69) | 15% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Cincinnati | #43 | @ Iowa State | 3-3 | L | Iowa State (-7.47) | 32% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #75 | Colorado | 2-4 | @ Cincinnati | W | Cincinnati (-4.17) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Cincinnati | #7 | @ BYU | 6-0 | L | BYU (-15.94) | 17% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-634.4% 25-732.4% 37-517.4% 44-810.6% 58-44.6% 69-30.6% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||