| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #237 | Utah Tech | 0-7 | 7 | @ BYU | 63 | W | BYU (-50.23) | 100% | 5.77 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #25 | Arizona | 5-1 | 17 | @ BYU | 28 | W | BYU (-7.77) | 100% | 3.23 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | BYU | 41 | #99 | @ Colorado State | 2-4 | 23 | W | Colorado State (+13.38) | 100% | 4.62 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | BYU | 17 | #45 | @ TCU | 3-3 | 10 | W | TCU (+4.37) | 100% | 2.63 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #43 | Iowa State | 3-3 | 10 | @ BYU | 24 | W | BYU (-8.29) | 100% | 5.71 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #2 | Notre Dame | 6-1 | 24 | @ BYU | 28 | W | BYU (+9.98) | 100% | 13.98 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | BYU | #53 | @ UCF | 3-3 | W | UCF (+4.70) | 62% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #89 | Arizona State | 3-3 | @ BYU | W | BYU (-19.89) | 88% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | BYU | #15 | @ Utah | 6-0 | L | Utah (-4.58) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #36 | Baylor | 4-2 | @ BYU | W | BYU (-8.99) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | BYU | #93 | @ Kansas | 2-4 | W | Kansas (+9.25) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #49 | Cincinnati | 4-2 | @ BYU | W | BYU (-15.94) | 83% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-235.2% 211-129.7% 39-319.8% 412-08.9% 58-45.6% 67-50.8% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 8.9% | ||||||||||||||||