| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #192 | Morgan State | 4-2 | 7 | @ Arizona State | 70 | W | Arizona State (-41.23) | 100% | 21.77 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Arizona State | 20 | #41 | @ Texas A&M | 4-3 | 48 | L | Texas A&M (-12.71) | 0% | -15.29 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Arizona State | 24 | #93 | Kansas | 2-4 | 17 | ✓ | W | Kansas (+3.61) | 100% | 3.39 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #36 | Baylor | 4-2 | 55 | @ Arizona State | 19 | L | Arizona State (-3.65) | 0% | -39.65 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #174 | Hawai'i | 1-6 | 12 | @ Arizona State | 30 | W | Arizona State (-15.79) | 100% | 2.21 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Arizona State | 25 | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | 53 | L | Texas Tech (-20.38) | 0% | -7.62 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #47 | Kansas State | 4-2 | @ Arizona State | L | Arizona State (+5.77) | 36% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Arizona State | #7 | @ BYU | 6-0 | L | BYU (-19.89) | 12% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #75 | Colorado | 2-4 | @ Arizona State | L | Arizona State (+0.04) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Arizona State | #53 | @ UCF | 3-3 | L | UCF (-10.23) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #32 | Oklahoma State | 4-2 | @ Arizona State | L | Arizona State (+9.64) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Arizona State | #25 | @ Arizona | 5-1 | L | Arizona (-15.49) | 18% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-733.2% 24-832.8% 36-616.6% 43-912.4% 57-54.3% 68-40.6% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||