| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #100 | Northern Arizona | 6-2 | 7 | @ Arizona | 35 | W | Arizona (-27.87) | 100% | 0.13 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Arizona | 17 | #7 | @ BYU | 6-0 | 28 | L | BYU (-7.77) | 0% | -3.23 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | #175 | Northern Illinois | 0-6 | 17 | @ Arizona | 42 | W | Arizona (-26.99) | 100% | -1.99 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Arizona | 34 | #139 | @ Washington State | 1-6 | 24 | W | Washington State (+3.37) | 100% | 6.63 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #49 | Cincinnati | 4-2 | 7 | @ Arizona | 34 | W | Arizona (-5.26) | 100% | 21.74 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Arizona | 52 | #68 | @ West Virginia | 4-3 | 31 | W | West Virginia (+7.34) | 100% | 13.66 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #43 | Iowa State | 3-3 | @ Arizona | W | Arizona (-7.01) | 67% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Arizona | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | L | Texas Tech (-7.77) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #45 | TCU | 3-3 | @ Arizona | W | Arizona (-4.52) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #15 | Utah | 6-0 | @ Arizona | L | Arizona (+3.00) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Arizona | #47 | @ Kansas State | 4-2 | W | Kansas State (+0.05) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #89 | Arizona State | 3-3 | @ Arizona | W | Arizona (-15.49) | 82% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-432.1% 29-329.6% 37-517.7% 410-213.3% 56-64.7% 611-12.3% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.3% | ||||||||||||||||