| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | Wisconsin | 13 | #2 | Notre Dame | 6-1 | 41 | ✓ | L | Notre Dame (-17.29) | 0% | -10.71 | |||||
| 9/12/2026 | #199 | Western Illinois | 2-4 | 9 | @ Wisconsin | 36 | W | Wisconsin (-37.70) | 100% | -10.70 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #134 | Eastern Michigan | 4-4 | 10 | @ Wisconsin | 54 | W | Wisconsin (-17.72) | 100% | 26.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Wisconsin | 24 | #61 | @ Penn State | 3-4 | 20 | W | Penn State (-16.82) | 100% | 20.82 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #79 | Michigan State | 2-5 | 3 | @ Wisconsin | 31 | W | Wisconsin (-5.84) | 100% | 22.16 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Wisconsin | 7 | ✓ | #1 | @ UCLA | 6-0 | 17 | L | UCLA (-5.26) | 0% | -4.74 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | #23 | USC | 6-1 | @ Wisconsin | W | Wisconsin (-1.73) | 54% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Wisconsin | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | L | Iowa (-6.97) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #111 | Rutgers | 2-4 | @ Wisconsin | W | Wisconsin (-16.49) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Wisconsin | #119 | @ Maryland | 2-5 | W | Maryland (+13.31) | 79% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Wisconsin | #56 | @ Purdue | 3-4 | W | Purdue (+4.06) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #60 | Minnesota | 4-2 | @ Wisconsin | W | Wisconsin (-11.47) | 76% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-435.5% 27-525.1% 39-323.4% 46-68.9% 510-25.5% 65-71.5% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 5.5% | ||||||||||||||||