| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/6/2026 | #139 | Washington State | 1-6 | 10 | @ Washington | 24 | W | Washington (-16.29) | 100% | -2.29 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #107 | Utah State | 2-4 | 14 | @ Washington | 16 | W | Washington (-25.69) | 100% | -23.69 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #186 | Eastern Washington | 2-6 | 16 | @ Washington | 48 | W | Washington (-37.99) | 100% | -5.99 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #60 | Minnesota | 4-2 | 27 | @ Washington | 24 | L | Washington (-12.34) | 0% | -15.34 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Washington | 21 | #23 | @ USC | 6-1 | 25 | L | USC (-5.87) | 0% | 1.87 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | #21 | Iowa | 5-1 | 41 | @ Washington | 24 | L | Washington (+2.29) | 0% | -14.71 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | Washington | 38 | #56 | @ Purdue | 3-4 | 26 | W | Purdue (-4.66) | 100% | 16.66 | |||||
| 10/31/2026 | Washington | #24 | @ Nebraska | 5-2 | L | Nebraska (-14.91) | 18% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #61 | Penn State | 3-4 | @ Washington | L | Washington (+0.26) | 49% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Washington | #79 | @ Michigan State | 2-5 | L | Michigan State (-2.94) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #14 | Indiana | 6-1 | @ Washington | L | Washington (+13.91) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Washington | #12 | @ Oregon | 4-2 | L | Oregon (-19.73) | 12% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-738.8% 26-631.7% 34-816.7% 47-511.0% 58-41.7% 69-30.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||