| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #110 | San José State | 4-3 | 26 | @ USC | 42 | W | USC (-31.98) | 100% | -15.98 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #76 | Fresno State | 4-3 | 0 | @ USC | 39 | W | USC (-19.40) | 100% | 19.60 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | #54 | Louisiana | 5-2 | 30 | @ USC | 49 | W | USC (-25.17) | 100% | -6.17 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | USC | 42 | #111 | @ Rutgers | 2-4 | 35 | W | Rutgers (+19.35) | 100% | -12.35 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #12 | Oregon | 4-2 | 41 | @ USC | 27 | L | USC (+3.15) | 0% | -10.85 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #62 | Washington | 4-3 | 21 | @ USC | 25 | W | USC (-5.87) | 100% | -1.87 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | USC | 31 | #61 | @ Penn State | 3-4 | 23 | W | Penn State (-3.41) | 100% | 11.41 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | USC | #33 | @ Wisconsin | 4-2 | L | Wisconsin (-1.73) | 46% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #4 | Ohio State | 6-1 | @ USC | L | USC (+9.27) | 28% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | USC | #14 | @ Indiana | 6-1 | L | Indiana (-12.36) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #119 | Maryland | 2-5 | @ USC | W | USC (-17.60) | 85% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | USC | #1 | @ UCLA | 6-0 | L | UCLA (-8.60) | 30% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-439.4% 29-325.4% 37-524.1% 410-27.2% 56-63.1% 611-10.7% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.7% | ||||||||||||||||