| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/2026 | #188 | Indiana State | 2-5 | 19 | @ Purdue | 44 | W | Purdue (-26.17) | 100% | -1.17 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #19 | Wake Forest | 6-1 | 38 | @ Purdue | 36 | L | Purdue (+1.83) | 0% | -0.17 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Purdue | 38 | #1 | @ UCLA | 6-0 | 52 | L | UCLA (-8.04) | 0% | -5.96 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #2 | Notre Dame | 6-1 | 49 | @ Purdue | 10 | L | Purdue (+24.05) | 0% | -14.95 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Purdue | 24 | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | 17 | W | Illinois (-14.57) | 100% | 21.57 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #60 | Minnesota | 4-2 | 13 | @ Purdue | 41 | W | Purdue (+3.66) | 100% | 31.66 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | ✓ | #62 | Washington | 4-3 | 38 | @ Purdue | 26 | L | Purdue (-4.66) | 0% | -16.66 | |||||
| 10/31/2026 | Purdue | #61 | @ Penn State | 3-4 | L | Penn State (-6.22) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #119 | Maryland | 2-5 | @ Purdue | W | Purdue (-9.16) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Purdue | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | L | Iowa (-11.98) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #33 | Wisconsin | 4-2 | @ Purdue | L | Purdue (+4.06) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Purdue | #14 | @ Indiana | 6-1 | L | Indiana (-19.22) | 13% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-737.9% 24-831.0% 36-619.2% 43-97.5% 57-54.1% 68-40.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||