| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #20 | Boise State | 5-1 | 27 | @ Oregon | 34 | W | Oregon (-24.23) | 100% | -17.23 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Oregon | 31 | #32 | @ Oklahoma State | 4-2 | 39 | L | Oklahoma State (+26.41) | 0% | -34.41 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #184 | Portland State | 2-5 | 0 | @ Oregon | 84 | W | Oregon (-51.66) | 100% | 32.34 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Oregon | 41 | #23 | @ USC | 6-1 | 27 | W | USC (+3.15) | 100% | 10.85 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #1 | UCLA | 6-0 | 17 | ✓ | @ Oregon | 15 | L | Oregon (-9.62) | 0% | -11.62 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #24 | Nebraska | 5-2 | 14 | ✓ | @ Oregon | 17 | W | Oregon (-4.66) | 100% | -1.66 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Oregon | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | W | Illinois (+9.66) | 72% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #22 | Northwestern | 5-1 | @ Oregon | W | Oregon (-9.10) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Oregon | #4 | @ Ohio State | 6-1 | L | Ohio State (-8.62) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #38 | Michigan | 4-2 | @ Oregon | W | Oregon (-14.89) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Oregon | #79 | @ Michigan State | 2-5 | W | Michigan State (+12.69) | 78% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #62 | Washington | 4-3 | @ Oregon | W | Oregon (-19.73) | 88% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-435.8% 29-332.6% 37-517.9% 410-28.6% 56-64.5% 65-70.6% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 8.6% | ||||||||||||||||