| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #138 | Ball State | 2-5 | 3 | @ Ohio State | 56 | W | Ohio State (-46.65) | 100% | 6.35 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Ohio State | 23 | #9 | @ Texas | 4-2 | 24 | L | Texas (+2.79) | 0% | -3.79 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #136 | Kent State | 2-5 | 3 | @ Ohio State | 59 | W | Ohio State (-48.17) | 100% | 7.83 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #64 | Illinois | 3-3 | 19 | @ Ohio State | 42 | W | Ohio State (-20.83) | 100% | 2.17 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Ohio State | 31 | #21 | @ Iowa | 5-1 | 14 | W | Iowa (+6.15) | 100% | 10.85 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #119 | Maryland | 2-5 | 16 | @ Ohio State | 45 | W | Ohio State (-36.16) | 100% | -7.16 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Ohio State | 19 | #14 | @ Indiana | 6-1 | 15 | W | Indiana (-0.91) | 100% | 4.91 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Ohio State | #23 | @ USC | 6-1 | W | USC (+9.27) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #12 | Oregon | 4-2 | @ Ohio State | W | Ohio State (-8.62) | 70% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #22 | Northwestern | 5-1 | @ Ohio State | W | Ohio State (-14.45) | 81% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Ohio State | #24 | @ Nebraska | 5-2 | W | Nebraska (+4.57) | 61% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #38 | Michigan | 4-2 | @ Ohio State | W | Ohio State (-21.58) | 90% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-240.3% 29-327.3% 311-122.4% 48-48.6% 57-51.2% 66-60.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 22.4% | ||||||||||||||||