Team Games — 2026

#22 Northwestern (5-1)
(scroll sideways to see all columns)
Date QB1
Out?
Rank Away Team Record Score QB1
Out?
Rank Home Team Record Score Neutral Site Playoff Game Outcome Expected Outcome Expected
Probability
Actual
Deviation
9/6/2026   #90 South Dakota State 5-2 18     @ Northwestern   34     W Northwestern (-11.12) 100% 4.88
9/19/2026   #75 Colorado 2-4 7     @ Northwestern   41     W Northwestern (-10.17) 100% 23.83
9/26/2026     Northwestern   23   #14 @ Indiana 6-1 29     L Indiana (-23.81) 0% 17.81
10/3/2026   #61 Penn State 3-4 13     @ Northwestern   34     W Northwestern (+2.92) 100% 23.92
10/10/2026   #138 Ball State 2-5 14     @ Northwestern   45     W Northwestern (-35.72) 100% -4.72
10/17/2026     Northwestern   24   #79 @ Michigan State 2-5 21     W Michigan State (+8.82) 100% -5.82
10/24/2026   #111 Rutgers 2-4       @ Northwestern         W Northwestern (-19.36) 87%  
10/31/2026     Northwestern       #12 @ Oregon 4-2       L Oregon (-9.10) 29%  
11/7/2026   #21 Iowa 5-1       @ Northwestern         W Northwestern (-1.33) 53%  
11/14/2026     Northwestern       #4 @ Ohio State 6-1       L Ohio State (-14.45) 19%  
11/21/2026     Northwestern       #60 @ Minnesota 4-2       W Minnesota (+8.19) 69%  
11/28/2026   #64 Illinois 3-3       @ Northwestern         W Northwestern (-10.04) 73%  
PROJECTED RECORD
18-435.0%
29-331.0%
37-517.5%
410-211.1%
56-63.8%
611-11.3%
Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 1.3%
0%10%20%30%40%6-67-58-49-310-211-1final record6543216-6: 3.8%7-5: 17.5%8-4: 35.0%9-3: 31.0%10-2: 11.1%11-1: 1.3%