| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | 3 | @ Duke | 17 | W | Duke (-3.79) | 100% | 10.21 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Duke | 31 | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | 27 | W | Illinois (-5.51) | 100% | 9.51 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #103 | Stanford | 3-4 | 7 | @ Duke | 35 | W | Duke (-13.29) | 100% | 14.71 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #228 | William & Mary | 3-4 | 7 | @ Duke | 62 | W | Duke (-42.32) | 100% | 12.68 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Duke | 25 | #96 | @ Georgia Tech | 2-4 | 28 | L | Georgia Tech (+6.81) | 0% | -9.81 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #29 | North Carolina | 4-2 | 24 | @ Duke | 20 | L | Duke (-1.11) | 0% | -5.11 | ||||||
| 10/23/2026 | Duke | #86 | @ Virginia | 4-3 | L | Virginia (-0.24) | 49% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #101 | Boston College | 3-3 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-10.90) | 75% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Duke | #77 | @ NC State | 3-3 | W | NC State (+0.90) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Duke | #3 | @ Miami | 6-0 | L | Miami (-19.54) | 12% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #35 | Clemson | 4-2 | @ Duke | W | Duke (-2.60) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Duke | #19 | @ Wake Forest | 6-1 | L | Wake Forest (-10.64) | 26% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-533.7% 26-629.1% 38-418.8% 45-711.8% 59-34.5% 64-81.7% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.3% | ||||||||||||||||