| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #50 | Western Michigan | 5-2 | 12 | @ Michigan | 13 | W | Michigan (-15.66) | 100% | -14.66 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #34 | Oklahoma | 3-3 | 10 | @ Michigan | 17 | W | Michigan (+2.33) | 100% | 9.33 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #195 | UTEP | 1-6 | 17 | @ Michigan | 52 | W | Michigan (-30.33) | 100% | 4.67 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #21 | Iowa | 5-1 | 20 | @ Michigan | 19 | L | Michigan (+0.78) | 0% | -0.22 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Michigan | 14 | #60 | @ Minnesota | 4-2 | 20 | L | Minnesota (+2.87) | 0% | -8.87 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #61 | Penn State | 3-4 | 18 | @ Michigan | 21 | W | Michigan (-3.65) | 100% | -0.65 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #14 | Indiana | 6-1 | @ Michigan | L | Michigan (+9.77) | 27% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Michigan | #111 | @ Rutgers | 2-4 | W | Rutgers (+10.13) | 73% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #79 | Michigan State | 2-5 | @ Michigan | W | Michigan (-5.94) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Michigan | #12 | @ Oregon | 4-2 | L | Oregon (-14.89) | 18% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #1 | UCLA | 6-0 | @ Michigan | L | Michigan (+7.22) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Michigan | #4 | @ Ohio State | 6-1 | L | Ohio State (-21.58) | 10% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-637.2% 27-528.4% 35-719.6% 48-49.8% 54-83.4% 69-31.5% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||