| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #175 | Northern Illinois | 0-6 | 0 | @ Iowa | 40 | W | Iowa (-31.86) | 100% | 8.14 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #43 | Iowa State | 3-3 | 13 | @ Iowa | 16 | W | Iowa (-13.39) | 100% | -10.39 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #127 | Northern Iowa | 3-3 | 0 | @ Iowa | 55 | W | Iowa (-37.69) | 100% | 17.31 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Iowa | 20 | #38 | @ Michigan | 4-2 | 19 | W | Michigan (+0.78) | 100% | 0.22 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #4 | Ohio State | 6-1 | 31 | @ Iowa | 14 | L | Iowa (+6.15) | 0% | -10.85 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | Iowa | 41 | #62 | @ Washington | 4-3 | 24 | W | Washington (+2.29) | 100% | 14.71 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | Iowa | #60 | @ Minnesota | 4-2 | W | Minnesota (+8.38) | 70% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #33 | Wisconsin | 4-2 | @ Iowa | W | Iowa (-6.97) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Iowa | #22 | @ Northwestern | 5-1 | L | Northwestern (-1.33) | 47% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #56 | Purdue | 3-4 | @ Iowa | W | Iowa (-11.98) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Iowa | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | W | Illinois (+6.69) | 66% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #24 | Nebraska | 5-2 | @ Iowa | W | Iowa (-1.29) | 53% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-333.3% 28-425.6% 310-222.1% 47-510.6% 511-15.9% 66-62.3% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 5.9% | ||||||||||||||||