| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | 16 | @ Indiana | 52 | W | Indiana (-23.66) | 100% | 12.34 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | 0 | @ Indiana | 55 | W | Indiana (-75.75) | 100% | -20.75 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #137 | Western Kentucky | 3-4 | 0 | @ Indiana | 38 | W | Indiana (-51.58) | 100% | -13.58 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #22 | Northwestern | 5-1 | 23 | @ Indiana | 29 | W | Indiana (-23.81) | 100% | -17.81 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | Indiana | 47 | #111 | @ Rutgers | 2-4 | 15 | W | Rutgers (+26.99) | 100% | 5.01 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Indiana | 20 | #24 | @ Nebraska | 5-2 | 17 | W | Nebraska (+8.16) | 100% | -5.16 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #4 | Ohio State | 6-1 | 19 | @ Indiana | 15 | L | Indiana (-0.91) | 0% | -4.91 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Indiana | #38 | @ Michigan | 4-2 | W | Michigan (+9.77) | 73% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #60 | Minnesota | 4-2 | @ Indiana | W | Indiana (-22.30) | 90% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #23 | USC | 6-1 | @ Indiana | W | Indiana (-12.36) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Indiana | #62 | @ Washington | 4-3 | W | Washington (+13.91) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #56 | Purdue | 3-4 | @ Indiana | W | Indiana (-19.22) | 87% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-241.5% 211-135.5% 39-318.6% 48-44.0% 57-50.4% 66-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 35.5% | ||||||||||||||||