| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/2026 | #106 | UAB | 4-3 | 23 | @ Illinois | 42 | W | Illinois (-24.63) | 100% | -5.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #48 | Duke | 4-2 | 31 | @ Illinois | 27 | L | Illinois (-5.51) | 0% | -9.51 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #171 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 10 | @ Illinois | 48 | W | Illinois (-22.81) | 100% | 15.19 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Illinois | 19 | #4 | @ Ohio State | 6-1 | 42 | L | Ohio State (-20.83) | 0% | -2.17 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #56 | Purdue | 3-4 | 24 | @ Illinois | 17 | L | Illinois (-14.57) | 0% | -21.57 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Illinois | 38 | #79 | @ Michigan State | 2-5 | 37 | W | Michigan State (+1.79) | 100% | -0.79 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #12 | Oregon | 4-2 | @ Illinois | L | Illinois (+9.66) | 28% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Illinois | #119 | @ Maryland | 2-5 | W | Maryland (+6.99) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #24 | Nebraska | 5-2 | @ Illinois | L | Illinois (+8.45) | 30% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Illinois | #1 | @ UCLA | 6-0 | L | UCLA (-13.58) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #21 | Iowa | 5-1 | @ Illinois | L | Illinois (+6.69) | 34% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Illinois | #22 | @ Northwestern | 5-1 | L | Northwestern (-10.04) | 27% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-735.1% 24-825.6% 36-623.2% 47-58.1% 53-96.5% 68-41.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||