| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/2026 | UAB | 23 | #64 | @ Illinois | 3-3 | 42 | L | Illinois (-24.63) | 0% | 5.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #196 | UL Monroe | 0-6 | 20 | @ UAB | 26 | W | UAB (-15.60) | 100% | -9.60 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | UAB | 14 | #54 | @ Louisiana | 5-2 | 21 | L | Louisiana (-9.79) | 0% | 2.79 | ||||||
| 9/25/2026 | #125 | Navy | 2-4 | 20 | @ UAB | 24 | W | UAB (+3.88) | 100% | 7.88 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #233 | Samford | 1-6 | 14 | @ UAB | 33 | W | UAB (-20.39) | 100% | -1.39 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | UAB | 13 | #55 | @ Memphis | 5-2 | 38 | L | Memphis (-19.57) | 0% | -5.43 | ||||||
| 10/15/2026 | ✓ | #128 | East Carolina | 3-3 | 17 | @ UAB | 30 | W | UAB (+3.06) | 100% | 16.06 | |||||
| 10/31/2026 | UAB | #71 | @ South Florida | 5-2 | L | South Florida (-10.68) | 26% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #176 | Charlotte | 1-6 | @ UAB | W | UAB (-15.36) | 82% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | UAB | #140 | @ Temple | 2-5 | L | Temple (-3.80) | 41% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #39 | UTSA | 6-1 | @ UAB | L | UAB (+5.82) | 36% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | UAB | #42 | @ North Texas | 4-2 | L | North Texas (-19.56) | 12% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-639.9% 25-728.0% 37-522.2% 48-45.1% 54-84.4% 69-30.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.4% | ||||||||||||||||