| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Tulane | 3 | #48 | @ Duke | 4-2 | 17 | L | Duke (-3.79) | 0% | -10.21 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #67 | South Alabama | 4-2 | 24 | @ Tulane | 28 | W | Tulane (-12.56) | 100% | -8.56 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Tulane | 20 | #47 | @ Kansas State | 4-2 | 31 | L | Kansas State (-19.32) | 0% | 8.32 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | ✓ | #189 | Southern Miss | 1-5 | 21 | @ Tulane | 24 | W | Tulane (-17.08) | 100% | -14.08 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | Tulane | 17 | #52 | @ Army | 4-2 | 20 | L | Army (-5.88) | 0% | 2.88 | ||||||
| 10/16/2026 | #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | 17 | ✓ | @ Tulane | 31 | W | Tulane (+8.86) | 100% | 22.86 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | #39 | UTSA | 6-1 | @ Tulane | W | Tulane (-0.65) | 52% | |||||||||
| 10/30/2026 | Tulane | #176 | @ Charlotte | 1-6 | W | Charlotte (+15.52) | 83% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | @ Tulane | W | Tulane (-2.80) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Tulane | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | W | Rice (+6.89) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #42 | North Texas | 4-2 | @ Tulane | L | Tulane (+5.27) | 37% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | Tulane | #71 | @ South Florida | 5-2 | L | South Florida (-4.17) | 40% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-631.8% 27-529.3% 35-717.8% 48-413.4% 54-84.8% 69-32.4% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 2.4% | ||||||||||||||||