| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/28/2026 | #180 | Rhode Island | 4-3 | 34 | @ Merrimack | 7 | L | Merrimack (+10.96) | 0% | -16.04 | ||||||
| 9/3/2026 | Merrimack | 7 | #166 | @ Delaware | 2-4 | 42 | L | Delaware (-25.29) | 0% | -9.71 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Merrimack | 23 | #254 | @ Maine | 1-6 | 14 | W | Maine (-8.12) | 100% | 17.12 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Merrimack | 20 | #102 | @ Tarleton State | 7-0 | 45 | L | Tarleton State (-30.40) | 0% | 5.40 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #241 | New Haven | 2-5 | 10 | @ Merrimack | 17 | W | Merrimack (-5.87) | 100% | 1.13 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Merrimack | 24 | #173 | @ Yale | 3-2 | 41 | L | Yale (-17.57) | 0% | 0.57 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Merrimack | 21 | #200 | @ Dartmouth | 2-3 | 27 | L | Dartmouth (-13.31) | 0% | 7.31 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #243 | New Hampshire | 2-6 | @ Merrimack | L | Merrimack (+0.32) | 49% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #255 | Wagner | 0-6 | @ Merrimack | W | Merrimack (-7.33) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Merrimack | #19 | @ Wake Forest | 6-1 | L | Wake Forest (-54.80) | 0% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Merrimack | #148 | @ Monmouth | 5-2 | L | Monmouth (-13.76) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #240 | Sacred Heart | 3-4 | @ Merrimack | L | Merrimack (+1.54) | 46% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-839.8% 23-929.4% 35-720.6% 42-107.1% 56-63.2% 67-5<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||