| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #171 | Southern Illinois | 3-5 | 31 | @ West Florida | 34 | W | West Florida (-0.60) | 100% | 2.40 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | West Florida | 42 | #205 | @ Central Arkansas | 1-5 | 14 | W | Central Arkansas (+4.93) | 100% | 23.07 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #135 | Austin Peay | 6-2 | 38 | @ West Florida | 16 | L | West Florida (-3.68) | 0% | -25.68 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | West Florida | 20 | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 17 | W | Southeast Missouri State (+4.89) | 100% | -1.89 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | West Florida | 7 | #121 | @ Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 35 | L | Abilene Christian (+0.95) | 0% | -28.95 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | West Florida | #222 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | W | Eastern Kentucky (+5.79) | 64% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | West Florida | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | L | North Alabama (-1.64) | 46% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #102 | Tarleton State | 7-0 | @ West Florida | L | West Florida (+2.56) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | West Florida | #252 | @ West Georgia | 0-6 | W | West Georgia (+9.56) | 72% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-437.8% 26-331.7% 34-518.3% 47-29.3% 53-63.0% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 9.3% | ||||||||||||||||