| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #233 | Samford | 1-6 | 10 | North Alabama | 22 | ✓ | W | North Alabama (-6.75) | 100% | 5.25 | |||||
| 9/5/2026 | North Alabama | 14 | #66 | @ Arkansas | 3-4 | 31 | L | Arkansas (-33.73) | 0% | 16.73 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | North Alabama | 25 | #153 | @ SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 30 | L | SE Louisiana (-7.71) | 0% | 2.71 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | 20 | @ North Alabama | 38 | W | North Alabama (-14.51) | 100% | 3.49 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #199 | Western Illinois | 2-4 | 20 | @ North Alabama | 23 | W | North Alabama (-1.77) | 100% | 1.23 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | North Alabama | 20 | #222 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 16 | W | Eastern Kentucky (-1.21) | 100% | 5.21 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 31 | @ North Alabama | 28 | L | North Alabama (+1.65) | 0% | -1.35 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #135 | Austin Peay | 6-2 | @ North Alabama | L | North Alabama (+3.70) | 41% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | North Alabama | #205 | @ Central Arkansas | 1-5 | W | Central Arkansas (+0.69) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #151 | West Florida | 3-2 | @ North Alabama | W | North Alabama (-1.64) | 54% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | North Alabama | #252 | @ West Georgia | 0-6 | W | West Georgia (+8.19) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #102 | Tarleton State | 7-0 | @ North Alabama | L | North Alabama (+3.40) | 42% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-532.8% 26-630.9% 38-416.7% 45-713.9% 59-33.3% 64-82.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.3% | ||||||||||||||||