| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | 21 | #156 | @ Western Carolina | 3-4 | 45 | L | Western Carolina (-5.13) | 0% | -18.87 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | 7 | #88 | @ Jacksonville State | 5-2 | 49 | L | Jacksonville State (-16.55) | 0% | -25.45 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #170 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | 17 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 22 | W | Eastern Kentucky (+0.49) | 100% | 5.49 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #212 | Dayton | 3-1 | 17 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 14 | L | Eastern Kentucky (-5.92) | 0% | -8.92 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #168 | North Alabama | 4-3 | 20 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 16 | L | Eastern Kentucky (-1.21) | 0% | -5.21 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #252 | West Georgia | 0-6 | 20 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 30 | W | Eastern Kentucky (-5.74) | 100% | 4.26 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | 20 | #112 | @ Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 49 | L | Tennessee Tech (-12.82) | 0% | -16.18 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #151 | West Florida | 3-2 | @ Eastern Kentucky | L | Eastern Kentucky (+5.79) | 36% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | #102 | @ Tarleton State | 7-0 | L | Tarleton State (-17.20) | 15% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | #135 | @ Austin Peay | 6-2 | L | Austin Peay (-18.70) | 13% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #205 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 | @ Eastern Kentucky | L | Eastern Kentucky (+2.35) | 44% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Eastern Kentucky | #121 | @ Abilene Christian | 4-4 | L | Abilene Christian (-15.98) | 17% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-941.3% 24-827.6% 32-1021.9% 45-78.1% 56-61.1% 67-50.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||