| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #108 | Florida International | 3-3 | 9 | @ South Florida | 19 | W | South Florida (-24.31) | 100% | -14.31 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | South Florida | 28 | #52 | @ Army | 4-2 | 24 | W | Army (+1.28) | 100% | 2.72 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #216 | Delaware State | 2-3 | 17 | @ South Florida | 59 | W | South Florida (-39.72) | 100% | 2.28 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | South Florida | 14 | #147 | @ Bowling Green | 2-5 | 6 | W | Bowling Green (+26.41) | 100% | -18.41 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #140 | Temple | 2-5 | 17 | @ South Florida | 13 | L | South Florida (-14.05) | 0% | -18.05 | ||||||
| 10/8/2026 | South Florida | 24 | #39 | @ UTSA | 6-1 | 31 | L | UTSA (-1.16) | 0% | -5.84 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #136 | Kent State | 2-5 | 2 | @ South Florida | 29 | W | South Florida (-21.84) | 100% | 5.16 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #106 | UAB | 4-3 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-10.68) | 74% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | South Florida | #128 | @ East Carolina | 3-3 | W | East Carolina (+3.50) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/13/2026 | #55 | Memphis | 5-2 | @ South Florida | L | South Florida (+1.40) | 47% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | South Florida | #97 | @ Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | W | Florida Atlantic (+3.39) | 58% | |||||||||
| 11/27/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | @ South Florida | W | South Florida (-4.17) | 60% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-435.3% 29-325.5% 37-523.6% 46-67.6% 510-27.1% 65-70.9% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 7.1% | ||||||||||||||||