| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Central Arkansas | 36 | #191 | @ UT Martin | 3-4 | 24 | W | UT Martin (-4.81) | 100% | 16.81 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | #151 | West Florida | 3-2 | 42 | @ Central Arkansas | 14 | L | Central Arkansas (+4.93) | 0% | -23.07 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Central Arkansas | 9 | #155 | @ Southeast Missouri State | 4-3 | 27 | L | Southeast Missouri State (-3.86) | 0% | -14.14 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Central Arkansas | 7 | #70 | @ Florida State | 3-4 | 34 | L | Florida State (-41.35) | 0% | 14.35 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | Central Arkansas | 14 | #121 | @ Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 20 | L | Abilene Christian (-12.88) | 0% | 6.88 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Central Arkansas | 35 | #102 | @ Tarleton State | 7-0 | 49 | L | Tarleton State (-17.12) | 0% | 3.12 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | @ Central Arkansas | W | Central Arkansas (-3.84) | 59% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #168 | North Alabama | 4-3 | @ Central Arkansas | L | Central Arkansas (+0.69) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #252 | West Georgia | 0-6 | @ Central Arkansas | W | Central Arkansas (-9.42) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Central Arkansas | #222 | @ Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | W | Eastern Kentucky (+2.35) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #135 | Austin Peay | 6-2 | @ Central Arkansas | L | Central Arkansas (+7.35) | 32% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-734.5% 23-829.5% 35-618.8% 42-911.8% 56-53.7% 61-101.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.7% | ||||||||||||||||