| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #217 | Gardner-Webb | 2-6 | 17 | @ Austin Peay | 35 | W | Austin Peay (-13.24) | 100% | 4.76 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Austin Peay | 9 | #85 | @ Vanderbilt | 3-4 | 28 | L | Vanderbilt (-29.17) | 0% | 10.17 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #266 | Morehead State | 0-5 | 7 | @ Austin Peay | 63 | W | Austin Peay (-33.21) | 100% | 22.79 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Austin Peay | 38 | #151 | @ West Florida | 3-2 | 16 | W | West Florida (-3.68) | 100% | 25.68 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #191 | UT Martin | 3-4 | 12 | @ Austin Peay | 35 | W | Austin Peay (-20.71) | 100% | 2.29 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #241 | New Haven | 2-5 | 17 | @ Austin Peay | 42 | W | Austin Peay (-34.95) | 100% | -9.95 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #102 | Tarleton State | 7-0 | 40 | @ Austin Peay | 32 | L | Austin Peay (-2.95) | 0% | -10.95 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Austin Peay | 24 | #252 | @ West Georgia | 0-6 | 10 | W | West Georgia (+18.12) | 100% | -4.12 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Austin Peay | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | W | North Alabama (+3.70) | 59% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | @ Austin Peay | W | Austin Peay (-18.70) | 87% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | @ Austin Peay | W | Austin Peay (-3.96) | 60% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Austin Peay | #205 | @ Central Arkansas | 1-5 | W | Central Arkansas (+7.35) | 68% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-341.4% 28-429.1% 310-220.7% 47-58.2% 56-60.7% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 20.7% | ||||||||||||||||