| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Abilene Christian | 14 | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | 21 | L | Lamar (+4.52) | 0% | -11.52 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Abilene Christian | 10 | #10 | @ Texas Tech | 6-0 | 33 | L | Texas Tech (-40.89) | 0% | 17.89 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | #69 | Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | 26 | @ Abilene Christian | 7 | L | Abilene Christian (+3.05) | 0% | -15.95 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Abilene Christian | 41 | #152 | @ Idaho | 2-5 | 39 | W | Idaho (+1.42) | 100% | 0.58 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | #133 | Mercer | 6-2 | 34 | @ Abilene Christian | 17 | L | Abilene Christian (-2.21) | 0% | -19.21 | ||||||
| 10/4/2026 | #151 | West Florida | 3-2 | 7 | @ Abilene Christian | 35 | W | Abilene Christian (+0.95) | 100% | 28.95 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | #205 | Central Arkansas | 1-5 | 14 | @ Abilene Christian | 20 | W | Abilene Christian (-12.88) | 100% | -6.88 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Abilene Christian | 31 | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | 28 | W | North Alabama (+1.65) | 100% | 1.35 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #252 | West Georgia | 0-6 | @ Abilene Christian | W | Abilene Christian (-19.80) | 88% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | Abilene Christian | #102 | @ Tarleton State | 7-0 | L | Tarleton State (-4.44) | 39% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Abilene Christian | #135 | @ Austin Peay | 6-2 | L | Austin Peay (-3.96) | 40% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | @ Abilene Christian | W | Abilene Christian (-15.98) | 83% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-538.9% 26-638.8% 38-411.5% 45-710.0% 54-80.7% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 11.5% | ||||||||||||||||