| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Southern | 17 | #218 | Alabama State | 3-3 | 30 | ✓ | L | Alabama State (-21.99) | 0% | 8.99 | |||||
| 9/12/2026 | Southern | 6 | #16 | @ Houston | 6-1 | 77 | L | Houston (-49.63) | 0% | -21.37 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Southern | 17 | #154 | @ Jackson State | 4-1 | 35 | L | Jackson State (-20.97) | 0% | 2.97 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #223 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 1-3 | 41 | @ Southern | 10 | L | Southern (+2.61) | 0% | -28.39 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Southern | 28 | #221 | @ Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 14 | W | Prairie View A&M (-21.47) | 100% | 35.47 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Southern | #261 | @ Texas Southern | 1-5 | W | Texas Southern (+5.48) | 63% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Southern | #227 | @ Florida A&M | 1-5 | L | Florida A&M (-6.45) | 34% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #226 | Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | @ Southern | W | Southern (-0.64) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | @ Southern | W | Southern (-0.88) | 52% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #213 | Grambling | 2-3 | Southern | ✓ | L | Southern (+3.70) | 41% | ||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-732.8% 24-630.8% 32-816.8% 45-513.9% 51-93.3% 66-42.4% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 2.4% | ||||||||||||||||