| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13/2026 | Grambling | 7 | #45 | @ TCU | 3-3 | 63 | L | TCU (-40.91) | 0% | -15.09 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #221 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 21 | Grambling | 14 | ✓ | L | Grambling (+10.60) | 0% | 3.60 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | 59 | @ Grambling | 63 | W | Grambling (-4.91) | 100% | -0.91 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #154 | Jackson State | 4-1 | 38 | @ Grambling | 45 | W | Grambling (+6.50) | 100% | 13.50 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Grambling | 31 | #144 | @ Alabama A&M | 4-2 | 61 | L | Alabama A&M (-11.10) | 0% | -18.90 | ||||||
| 11/1/2026 | Grambling | #261 | @ Texas Southern | 1-5 | W | Texas Southern (+8.98) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #223 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 1-3 | @ Grambling | L | Grambling (+2.96) | 43% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Grambling | #226 | @ Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | L | Bethune-Cookman (-0.01) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | Grambling | #239 | Southern | 1-4 | ✓ | W | Southern (+3.70) | 59% | ||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-537.7% 25-430.8% 33-619.2% 46-39.0% 52-73.4% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 9.0% | ||||||||||||||||