| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/4/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 14 | #31 | @ Missouri | 5-2 | 54 | L | Missouri (-57.76) | 0% | 17.76 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 51 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | 53 | ✓ | L | Alcorn State (-1.34) | 0% | -0.66 | |||||
| 10/3/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 41 | #239 | @ Southern | 1-4 | 10 | W | Southern (+2.61) | 100% | 28.39 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #218 | Alabama State | 3-3 | 21 | @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 15 | L | Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-3.61) | 0% | -9.61 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | #227 | @ Florida A&M | 1-5 | W | Florida A&M (+3.39) | 58% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #226 | Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W | Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-8.90) | 71% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | #213 | @ Grambling | 2-3 | W | Grambling (+2.96) | 57% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #221 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W | Arkansas-Pine Bluff (-4.99) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | #261 | @ Texas Southern | 1-5 | W | Texas Southern (+16.25) | 84% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-533.9% 25-433.0% 33-616.6% 46-312.3% 52-73.8% 61-80.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 12.3% | ||||||||||||||||