| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Alcorn State | 3 | #189 | @ Southern Miss | 1-5 | 49 | L | Southern Miss (-28.37) | 0% | -17.63 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #223 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 1-3 | 51 | Alcorn State | 53 | ✓ | W | Alcorn State (-1.34) | 100% | 0.66 | |||||
| 9/19/2026 | Alcorn State | 20 | #168 | @ North Alabama | 4-3 | 38 | L | North Alabama (-14.51) | 0% | -3.49 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #261 | Texas Southern | 1-5 | 40 | @ Alcorn State | 43 | W | Alcorn State (-2.52) | 100% | 0.48 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Alcorn State | 59 | #213 | @ Grambling | 2-3 | 63 | L | Grambling (-4.91) | 0% | 0.91 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Alcorn State | 38 | #221 | @ Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 41 | L | Prairie View A&M (-8.29) | 0% | 5.29 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Alcorn State | #259 | @ Mississippi Valley State | 2-4 | W | Mississippi Valley State (+12.04) | 77% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #227 | Florida A&M | 1-5 | @ Alcorn State | W | Alcorn State (-0.17) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Alcorn State | #239 | @ Southern | 1-4 | L | Southern (-0.88) | 48% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #154 | Jackson State | 4-1 | @ Alcorn State | L | Alcorn State (+8.33) | 30% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-640.2% 25-526.3% 33-723.7% 46-45.6% 52-84.2% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 5.6% | ||||||||||||||||