| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | 10 | #234 | @ Nicholls | 2-5 | 44 | L | Nicholls (-27.20) | 0% | -6.80 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | 0 | #224 | @ Sacramento State | 1-6 | 52 | L | Sacramento State (-41.08) | 0% | -10.92 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | 15 | #218 | @ Alabama State | 3-3 | 41 | L | Alabama State (-33.20) | 0% | 7.20 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #221 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 27 | @ Mississippi Valley State | 28 | W | Mississippi Valley State (+25.82) | 100% | 26.82 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | 38 | #261 | @ Texas Southern | 1-5 | 34 | W | Texas Southern (-8.01) | 100% | 12.01 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #226 | Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | 34 | @ Mississippi Valley State | 14 | L | Mississippi Valley State (+9.28) | 0% | -10.72 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #250 | Alcorn State | 2-4 | @ Mississippi Valley State | L | Mississippi Valley State (+12.04) | 23% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | #154 | @ Jackson State | 4-1 | L | Jackson State (-28.97) | 5% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Mississippi Valley State | #227 | @ Florida A&M | 1-5 | L | Florida A&M (-18.97) | 13% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #144 | Alabama A&M | 4-2 | @ Mississippi Valley State | L | Mississippi Valley State (+28.68) | 5% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-860.0% 23-733.7% 34-65.9% 45-50.4% 56-4<0.1% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||