| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | 3 | @ Rice | 31 | W | Rice (-18.16) | 100% | 9.84 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Rice | 0 | #2 | @ Notre Dame | 6-1 | 52 | L | Notre Dame (-40.84) | 0% | -11.16 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #50 | Western Michigan | 5-2 | 28 | @ Rice | 21 | L | Rice (+13.86) | 0% | 6.86 | ||||||
| 9/27/2026 | Rice | 24 | #76 | @ Fresno State | 4-3 | 38 | L | Fresno State (-14.58) | 0% | 0.58 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #39 | UTSA | 6-1 | 16 | @ Rice | 14 | L | Rice (+14.65) | 0% | 12.65 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Rice | 12 | ✓ | #128 | @ East Carolina | 3-3 | 28 | L | East Carolina (-14.30) | 0% | -1.70 | |||||
| 10/17/2026 | #87 | Tulsa | 4-3 | 38 | @ Rice | 17 | L | Rice (+4.27) | 0% | -16.73 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Rice | #97 | @ Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | L | Florida Atlantic (-6.37) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Rice | #42 | @ North Texas | 4-2 | L | North Texas (-21.28) | 11% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #78 | Tulane | 3-3 | @ Rice | L | Rice (+6.89) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/20/2026 | Rice | #140 | @ Temple | 2-5 | L | Temple (-6.27) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #52 | Army | 4-2 | @ Rice | L | Rice (+12.42) | 22% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 12-1038.8% 23-929.3% 31-1119.7% 44-810.4% 55-71.7% 66-60.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.1% | ||||||||||||||||