| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Alabama A&M | 24 | #209 | Howard | 2-4 | 31 | ✓ | L | Howard (-4.73) | 0% | -2.27 | |||||
| 9/12/2026 | #210 | Tennessee State | 2-5 | 3 | @ Alabama A&M | 30 | W | Alabama A&M (-2.30) | 100% | 24.70 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Alabama A&M | 40 | #227 | @ Florida A&M | 1-5 | 21 | W | Florida A&M (+3.15) | 100% | 15.85 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Alabama A&M | 28 | #154 | Jackson State | 4-1 | 31 | ✓ | L | Jackson State (-8.00) | 0% | 5.00 | |||||
| 10/10/2026 | #226 | Bethune-Cookman | 3-3 | 17 | @ Alabama A&M | 55 | W | Alabama A&M (-4.84) | 100% | 33.16 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #213 | Grambling | 2-3 | 31 | @ Alabama A&M | 61 | W | Alabama A&M (-11.10) | 100% | 18.90 | ||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #218 | Alabama State | 3-3 | Alabama A&M | ✓ | W | Alabama A&M (-7.77) | 69% | ||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Alabama A&M | #221 | @ Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | W | Prairie View A&M (+6.62) | 66% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #261 | Texas Southern | 1-5 | @ Alabama A&M | W | Alabama A&M (-28.62) | 95% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | Alabama A&M | #259 | @ Mississippi Valley State | 2-4 | W | Mississippi Valley State (+28.68) | 95% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-344.1% 28-240.4% 36-414.2% 45-51.2% 54-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 4 remaining games: 40.4% | ||||||||||||||||