| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | 38 | #179 | @ McNeese | 2-4 | 27 | W | McNeese (+11.56) | 100% | -0.56 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 7 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 44 | W | Stephen F. Austin (-19.85) | 100% | 17.15 | ||||||
| 9/13/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | 26 | #121 | @ Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 7 | W | Abilene Christian (+3.05) | 100% | 15.95 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | 31 | #221 | @ Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | 10 | W | Prairie View A&M (+11.89) | 100% | 9.11 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 26 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 28 | W | Stephen F. Austin (-24.70) | 100% | -22.70 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | 56 | #234 | @ Nicholls | 2-5 | 0 | W | Nicholls (+23.49) | 100% | 32.51 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | @ Stephen F. Austin | W | Stephen F. Austin (-14.59) | 81% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | @ Stephen F. Austin | W | Stephen F. Austin (-20.70) | 89% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | W | Lamar (+7.49) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Stephen F. Austin | #193 | @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | W | UT Rio Grande Valley (+13.79) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #253 | Northwestern State | 0-6 | @ Stephen F. Austin | W | Stephen F. Austin (-39.10) | 98% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 110-142.3% 211-038.3% 39-216.5% 48-32.8% 57-40.2% 66-5<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 38.3% | ||||||||||||||||