| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | 34 | @ SE Louisiana | 28 | L | SE Louisiana (-26.87) | 0% | -32.87 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | SE Louisiana | 14 | #67 | @ South Alabama | 4-2 | 39 | L | South Alabama (-8.84) | 0% | -16.16 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #168 | North Alabama | 4-3 | 25 | @ SE Louisiana | 30 | W | SE Louisiana (-7.71) | 100% | -2.71 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | SE Louisiana | 38 | #196 | @ UL Monroe | 0-6 | 35 | W | UL Monroe (-0.77) | 100% | 3.77 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | SE Louisiana | 52 | #253 | @ Northwestern State | 0-6 | 21 | W | Northwestern State (+27.61) | 100% | 3.39 | ||||||
| 10/11/2026 | SE Louisiana | 3 | #193 | @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 13 | L | UT Rio Grande Valley (-0.04) | 0% | -9.96 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #116 | Lamar | 5-2 | 31 | @ SE Louisiana | 34 | W | SE Louisiana (+1.41) | 100% | 4.41 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | SE Louisiana | #69 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | L | Stephen F. Austin (-14.59) | 19% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | SE Louisiana | #208 | @ East Texas A&M | 2-5 | W | East Texas A&M (+6.01) | 65% | |||||||||
| 11/8/2026 | #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | @ SE Louisiana | L | SE Louisiana (+0.09) | 50% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | #179 | McNeese | 2-4 | @ SE Louisiana | W | SE Louisiana (-7.18) | 67% | |||||||||
| 11/20/2026 | SE Louisiana | #234 | @ Nicholls | 2-5 | W | Nicholls (+16.24) | 84% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 17-538.7% 26-626.9% 38-422.3% 45-77.9% 59-33.4% 64-80.8% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 3.4% | ||||||||||||||||