| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | Northwestern State | 6 | #51 | @ Louisiana Tech | 4-2 | 80 | L | Louisiana Tech (-44.42) | 0% | -29.58 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Northwestern State | 14 | #208 | @ East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 38 | L | East Texas A&M (-21.13) | 0% | -2.87 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | Northwestern State | 20 | #149 | @ Weber State | 5-3 | 49 | L | Weber State (-27.23) | 0% | -1.77 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 52 | @ Northwestern State | 21 | L | Northwestern State (+27.61) | 0% | -3.39 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Northwestern State | 14 | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | 42 | L | Lamar (-35.68) | 0% | 7.68 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #179 | McNeese | 2-4 | 24 | @ Northwestern State | 21 | L | Northwestern State (+21.20) | 0% | 18.20 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | @ Northwestern State | L | Northwestern State (+1.44) | 46% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Northwestern State | #145 | @ Incarnate Word | 2-4 | L | Incarnate Word (-27.48) | 6% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | @ Northwestern State | L | Northwestern State (+14.48) | 19% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | @ Northwestern State | L | Northwestern State (+13.85) | 20% | |||||||||
| 11/20/2026 | Northwestern State | #69 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | L | Stephen F. Austin (-39.10) | 2% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 11-1045.9% 20-1132.0% 32-919.0% 43-83.0% 54-70.2% 65-6<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||