| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | #259 | Mississippi Valley State | 2-4 | 10 | @ Nicholls | 44 | W | Nicholls (-27.20) | 100% | 6.80 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Nicholls | 3 | #47 | @ Kansas State | 4-2 | 71 | L | Kansas State (-32.66) | 0% | -35.34 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 28 | @ Nicholls | 31 | W | Nicholls (+4.56) | 100% | 7.56 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Nicholls | 0 | #161 | @ Sam Houston | 1-5 | 59 | L | Sam Houston (-10.95) | 0% | -48.05 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #116 | Lamar | 5-2 | 49 | @ Nicholls | 18 | L | Nicholls (+10.60) | 0% | -20.40 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | Nicholls | 2 | #165 | @ Houston Christian | 3-3 | 16 | L | Houston Christian (-0.86) | 0% | -13.14 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #69 | Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | 56 | @ Nicholls | 0 | L | Nicholls (+23.49) | 0% | -32.51 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Nicholls | #253 | @ Northwestern State | 0-6 | W | Northwestern State (+1.44) | 54% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Nicholls | #179 | @ McNeese | 2-4 | L | McNeese (-16.34) | 16% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | @ Nicholls | L | Nicholls (+7.97) | 31% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Nicholls | #145 | @ Incarnate Word | 2-4 | L | Incarnate Word (-25.47) | 7% | |||||||||
| 11/20/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | @ Nicholls | L | Nicholls (+16.24) | 16% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 13-943.0% 24-827.9% 32-1020.7% 45-77.4% 56-60.8% 67-5<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||