| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/5/2026 | North Texas | 16 | #14 | @ Indiana | 6-1 | 52 | L | Indiana (-23.66) | 0% | -12.34 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #82 | UNLV | 4-3 | 6 | @ North Texas | 44 | W | North Texas (-11.05) | 100% | 26.95 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | North Texas | 35 | #46 | @ Texas State | 3-3 | 49 | L | Texas State (+13.56) | 0% | -27.56 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | 14 | @ North Texas | 63 | W | North Texas (-46.44) | 100% | 2.56 | ||||||
| 10/2/2026 | North Texas | 45 | #87 | @ Tulsa | 4-3 | 44 | W | Tulsa (+12.63) | 100% | -11.63 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | ✓ | #176 | Charlotte | 1-6 | 10 | @ North Texas | 50 | W | North Texas (-37.97) | 100% | 2.03 | |||||
| 10/24/2026 | North Texas | #125 | @ Navy | 2-4 | W | Navy (+6.54) | 66% | |||||||||
| 10/29/2026 | #97 | Florida Atlantic | 4-2 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-16.81) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #142 | Rice | 1-6 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-21.28) | 89% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | North Texas | #39 | @ UTSA | 6-1 | W | UTSA (+2.27) | 56% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | North Texas | #78 | @ Tulane | 3-3 | W | Tulane (+5.27) | 63% | |||||||||
| 11/28/2026 | #106 | UAB | 4-3 | @ North Texas | W | North Texas (-19.56) | 88% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 19-335.8% 28-432.0% 310-215.2% 47-513.7% 56-62.9% 65-70.3% Chance of winning all 6 remaining games: 15.2% | ||||||||||||||||