| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #69 | Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | 38 | @ McNeese | 27 | L | McNeese (+11.56) | 0% | 0.56 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #102 | Tarleton State | 7-0 | 27 | @ McNeese | 24 | L | McNeese (+13.50) | 0% | 10.50 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | McNeese | 10 | #193 | @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 27 | L | UT Rio Grande Valley (-3.16) | 0% | -13.84 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 24 | @ McNeese | 27 | W | McNeese (-10.18) | 100% | -7.18 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | McNeese | 14 | #5 | @ LSU | 5-2 | 63 | L | LSU (-49.27) | 0% | 0.27 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | McNeese | 24 | #253 | @ Northwestern State | 0-6 | 21 | W | Northwestern State (+21.20) | 100% | -18.20 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | McNeese | #145 | @ Incarnate Word | 2-4 | L | Incarnate Word (-10.98) | 25% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | @ McNeese | W | McNeese (-16.34) | 84% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | McNeese | #165 | @ Houston Christian | 3-3 | W | Houston Christian (+0.22) | 51% | |||||||||
| 11/15/2026 | McNeese | #153 | @ SE Louisiana | 4-3 | L | SE Louisiana (-7.18) | 33% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | #116 | Lamar | 5-2 | @ McNeese | L | McNeese (+5.11) | 37% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-737.2% 25-629.4% 33-819.3% 46-510.3% 52-92.5% 67-41.3% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.3% | ||||||||||||||||