| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #121 | Abilene Christian | 4-4 | 14 | @ Lamar | 21 | W | Lamar (+4.52) | 100% | 11.52 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Lamar | 7 | #54 | @ Louisiana | 5-2 | 38 | L | Louisiana (-8.67) | 0% | -22.33 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Lamar | 23 | #152 | @ Idaho | 2-5 | 17 | W | Idaho (-3.41) | 100% | 9.41 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Lamar | 49 | #234 | @ Nicholls | 2-5 | 18 | W | Nicholls (+10.60) | 100% | 20.40 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #253 | Northwestern State | 0-6 | 14 | @ Lamar | 42 | W | Lamar (-35.68) | 100% | -7.68 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 35 | @ Lamar | 38 | W | Lamar (-7.18) | 100% | -4.18 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | Lamar | 31 | #153 | @ SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 34 | L | SE Louisiana (+1.41) | 0% | -4.41 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #165 | Houston Christian | 3-3 | @ Lamar | W | Lamar (-9.68) | 72% | |||||||||
| 11/1/2026 | Lamar | #193 | @ UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | W | UT Rio Grande Valley (+5.06) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #69 | Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | @ Lamar | L | Lamar (+7.49) | 32% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | @ Lamar | W | Lamar (-11.39) | 76% | |||||||||
| 11/22/2026 | Lamar | #179 | @ McNeese | 2-4 | W | McNeese (+5.11) | 63% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 18-436.8% 29-327.6% 37-522.0% 410-26.9% 56-66.1% 65-70.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 6.9% | ||||||||||||||||