| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27/2026 | Houston Christian | 34 | #153 | @ SE Louisiana | 4-3 | 28 | W | SE Louisiana (-26.87) | 100% | 32.87 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | Houston Christian | 3 | #142 | @ Rice | 1-6 | 31 | L | Rice (-18.16) | 0% | -9.84 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | Houston Christian | 23 | #145 | @ Incarnate Word | 2-4 | 30 | L | Incarnate Word (-17.02) | 0% | 10.02 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Houston Christian | 14 | #42 | @ North Texas | 4-2 | 63 | L | North Texas (-46.44) | 0% | -2.56 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #234 | Nicholls | 2-5 | 2 | @ Houston Christian | 16 | W | Houston Christian (-0.86) | 100% | 13.14 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | #208 | East Texas A&M | 2-5 | 24 | @ Houston Christian | 43 | W | Houston Christian (+2.18) | 100% | 21.18 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | Houston Christian | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | L | Lamar (-9.68) | 28% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Houston Christian | #69 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | L | Stephen F. Austin (-20.70) | 11% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #179 | McNeese | 2-4 | @ Houston Christian | L | Houston Christian (+0.22) | 49% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Houston Christian | #253 | @ Northwestern State | 0-6 | W | Northwestern State (+13.85) | 80% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | @ Houston Christian | W | Houston Christian (-0.23) | 51% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 15-638.9% 26-528.5% 34-720.9% 47-47.9% 53-83.2% 68-30.6% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 0.6% | ||||||||||||||||