| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | East Texas A&M | 15 | #133 | @ Mercer | 6-2 | 23 | L | Mercer (-16.59) | 0% | 8.59 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | East Texas A&M | 7 | #69 | @ Stephen F. Austin | 6-0 | 44 | L | Stephen F. Austin (-19.85) | 0% | -17.15 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #253 | Northwestern State | 0-6 | 14 | @ East Texas A&M | 38 | W | East Texas A&M (-21.13) | 100% | 2.87 | ||||||
| 9/20/2026 | East Texas A&M | 0 | #87 | @ Tulsa | 4-3 | 42 | L | Tulsa (-26.67) | 0% | -15.33 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | East Texas A&M | 24 | #179 | @ McNeese | 2-4 | 27 | L | McNeese (-10.18) | 0% | 7.18 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #193 | UT Rio Grande Valley | 2-4 | 17 | @ East Texas A&M | 20 | W | East Texas A&M (+8.44) | 100% | 11.44 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | East Texas A&M | 24 | #165 | @ Houston Christian | 3-3 | 43 | L | Houston Christian (+2.18) | 0% | -21.18 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #221 | Prairie View A&M | 3-5 | @ East Texas A&M | W | East Texas A&M (-3.74) | 59% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | #153 | SE Louisiana | 4-3 | @ East Texas A&M | L | East Texas A&M (+6.01) | 35% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | East Texas A&M | #234 | @ Nicholls | 2-5 | W | Nicholls (+7.97) | 69% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | East Texas A&M | #116 | @ Lamar | 5-2 | L | Lamar (-11.39) | 24% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #145 | Incarnate Word | 2-4 | @ East Texas A&M | L | East Texas A&M (+8.76) | 29% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 14-837.1% 25-727.1% 33-921.7% 46-68.8% 52-104.4% 67-51.0% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 1.0% | ||||||||||||||||