| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | #222 | Eastern Kentucky | 2-5 | 21 | @ Western Carolina | 45 | W | Western Carolina (-5.13) | 100% | 18.87 | ||||||
| 9/6/2026 | Western Carolina | 19 | #129 | @ Campbell | 6-1 | 28 | L | Campbell (+5.18) | 0% | -14.18 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | Western Carolina | 10 | #49 | @ Cincinnati | 4-2 | 62 | L | Cincinnati (-26.85) | 0% | -25.15 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | #247 | Presbyterian | 3-3 | 14 | @ Western Carolina | 58 | W | Western Carolina (-15.09) | 100% | 28.91 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | Western Carolina | 31 | #122 | @ East Tennessee State | 4-2 | 58 | L | East Tennessee State (+1.74) | 0% | -28.74 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #112 | Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | 20 | @ Western Carolina | 44 | W | Western Carolina (+7.51) | 100% | 31.51 | ||||||
| 10/10/2026 | Western Carolina | 14 | #133 | @ Mercer | 6-2 | 17 | L | Mercer (-9.50) | 0% | 6.50 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #170 | Chattanooga | 4-3 | @ Western Carolina | W | Western Carolina (-3.35) | 58% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | Western Carolina | #198 | @ Furman | 1-5 | W | Furman (+2.16) | 55% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | #178 | Wofford | 5-3 | @ Western Carolina | W | Western Carolina (-7.63) | 68% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | Western Carolina | #233 | @ Samford | 1-6 | W | Samford (+4.99) | 62% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | @ Western Carolina | W | Western Carolina (-12.66) | 78% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 16-634.5% 27-530.7% 35-718.7% 48-410.7% 54-84.9% 63-90.5% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: 10.7% | ||||||||||||||||