| Date | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Away Team | Record | Score | QB1 Out? |
Rank | Home Team | Record | Score | Neutral Site | Playoff Game | Outcome | Expected Outcome | Expected Probability |
Actual Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/29/2026 | VMI | 10 | #164 | @ Idaho State | 4-3 | 38 | L | Idaho State (-35.71) | 0% | 7.71 | ||||||
| 9/5/2026 | VMI | 3 | #83 | @ Virginia Tech | 5-2 | 73 | L | Virginia Tech (-48.25) | 0% | -21.75 | ||||||
| 9/12/2026 | #258 | Bucknell | 1-6 | 14 | @ VMI | 3 | L | VMI (+8.11) | 0% | -2.89 | ||||||
| 9/19/2026 | VMI | 24 | #265 | @ Davidson | 2-4 | 27 | L | Davidson (+1.22) | 0% | -4.22 | ||||||
| 9/26/2026 | VMI | 7 | #233 | @ Samford | 1-6 | 45 | L | Samford (-16.74) | 0% | -21.26 | ||||||
| 10/3/2026 | #133 | Mercer | 6-2 | 54 | @ VMI | 3 | L | VMI (+31.63) | 0% | -19.37 | ||||||
| 10/17/2026 | VMI | 14 | #178 | @ Wofford | 5-3 | 41 | L | Wofford (-30.39) | 0% | 3.39 | ||||||
| 10/24/2026 | #122 | East Tennessee State | 4-2 | @ VMI | L | VMI (+30.49) | 5% | |||||||||
| 10/31/2026 | VMI | #170 | @ Chattanooga | 4-3 | L | Chattanooga (-33.35) | 3% | |||||||||
| 11/7/2026 | VMI | #112 | @ Tennessee Tech | 6-1 | L | Tennessee Tech (-37.00) | 2% | |||||||||
| 11/14/2026 | #214 | The Citadel | 2-5 | @ VMI | L | VMI (+18.52) | 14% | |||||||||
| 11/21/2026 | #198 | Furman | 1-5 | @ VMI | L | VMI (+24.71) | 8% | |||||||||
PROJECTED RECORD 10-1271.7% 21-1125.0% 32-103.1% 43-90.2% 54-8<0.1% 65-7<0.1% Chance of winning all 5 remaining games: <0.1% | ||||||||||||||||